I'm not going to say I told you so...

...yet.

It's still a fluid situation, and all the campaigns are running at full power in the closing days, but the new Zogby numbers are looking good for those of us that have been counting on Kerry's Iowa Surprise.

Kerry leads the field at 22%, with Dean and Gephardt just behind at 21 and John Edwards holding a strong 4th place with 17%. Given the MOE (+/- 4.5%), it's essentially a 4 way tie with 5 days left, but the momentum is clear. Nobody's climbing like Kerry.

The success in Iowa seems to be providing the hoped for second look Kerry needs in New Hampshire, too. The new ARG numbers show him climbing 5% since the weekend, to 15, behind Dean (29) and Clark (24).

In other news, rumor has it that Dean was heard to mutter "Zogby, Zogby, Zogby..." after a recent Iowa appearance.

Well, rumor has it now, anyway...