Saturday, January 31, 2004

And even more new numbers...

Zogby updates four Feb. 3 contests.

South Carolina

Edwards 26 (+1)
Kerry 22 (-2)
Dean 9 (even)
Clark 8 (even)
Sharpton 6 (+1)
Lieberman 4 (-1)
Undec 22 (even)

The biggest variance from the ARG survey is in the number of undecideds. If ARG is right - that the undecideds are disproportionately Black and Black voters are breaking to Kerry over Edwards - this confirms the potential for an upset, despite the small down tick for Kerry.

Missouri

Kerry 46 (+1)
Edwards 13 (+2)
Dean 8 (-1)
Lieberman 4 (even)
Clark 4 (+1)
Sharpton 2 (even)
Kucinich 1 (even)
undec 21 (+1)

There's not too much to say here. Missouri is Kerry Country.

Oklahoma

Clark 25 (-2)
Kerry 22 (+3)
Edwards 16 (-1)
Dean 8 (-1)
Lieberman 6 (-1)
Kucinich 1 (even)
Sharpton 1 (even)
Undec 21 (-2)

I may be wrong about this one. Maybe Kerry will win Oklahoma!

Arizona

Kerry 36 (-2)
Clark 20 (+3)
Dean 12 (even)
Lieberman 7 (+1)
Edwards 6 (even)
Kucinich 3 (+1)
undec 15 (-3)

The good news just keeps coming...

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